North Korea said Monday that it
would pull all of its workers out of the Kaesong Industrial Complex, an
economic cooperation zone with the South that is the last major symbol of
cooperation between the two countries.
The North's state-run Korean Central News Agency said the country
was halting all ongoing activity in the zone and would consider shutting it
down for good.
Pyongyang had already been preventing South Korean workers and
managers from entering the complex and threatened to shut it down entirely amid
high tensions on the Korean Peninsula.
No signs
of imminent North Korean nuclear test, South says
(CNN) -- North Korea may be planning to carry out a new nuclear
test, but there is no sign it is likely to happen imminently, South Korea said
Monday, as the region waits uneasily for Kim Jong Un's next provocative move.
Seoul had already said Sunday that it believed Kim's secretive
regime in Pyongyang could conduct a missile test this week after recently
moving the necessary components to the coast.
North Korea has issued a catalog of alarming threats against the
South and the United States in the past several weeks, sharpening its rhetoric
after the U.N. Security Council imposed stricter sanctions for Pyongyang's
latest underground nuclear test, which took place it February.
Analysts said at the time that the North might follow up with
another detonation soon afterward as it tries to push forward its nuclear
program that it says it needs as a deterrent to protect it from the United
States.
South Korean Unification Minister Ryoo Kihl-jae told a meeting of
lawmakers Monday that North Korea is showing signs it could be preparing to
carry out a new nuclear test, the semi-official South Korean news agency Yonhap
reported.
Ryoo made the comment in response to a South Korean lawmaker who
cited reports suggesting there had been an increase in activity near the site of
the North's three previous underground nuclear tests, Yonhap said, adding that
Ryoo didn't elaborate further.
After Ryoo's remarks caused concern that a new nuclear test could
be imminent, the Unification Ministry sought to clarify what he said.
"What he meant was that North Korea has been continuously
preparing for a nuclear test since its third nuclear test and that it is
waiting for a political decision to carry out the test," the ministry
said, noting that no unusual signs had been detected at this point.
A delicate situation
A missile launch and nuclear detonation would put further strain
on an already fragile situation on the Korean Peninsula.
The North rattled the region last week by saying it would restart
a shuttered nuclear reactor and by preventing South Korean workers and managers
from entering a joint industrial zone that is seen as the last major symbol of
cooperation between the two Koreas.
Reports then emerged late in the week suggesting the North had
loaded as many as two medium-range missiles onto mobile launchers on the east
coast ahead of a possible test firing. And the South Korean president's office
said Sunday it believed a missile launch could happen around Wednesday.
The North frayed nerves further by warning foreign diplomats inside
the country that if war breaks out, it cannot guarantee their safety.
The string of troubling announcements from Pyongyang followed
weeks of menacing rhetoric, which included the threat of a nuclear strike on
South Korea and the United States.
Observers say they believe North Korea is still years away from
having an operational nuclear missile, but they note it does have conventional
weapons that pose a threat to countries in the region like South Korea and
Japan, both of which are home to thousands of U.S. troops.
Sanctions and drills
The escalation in verbal threats from the North coincided with the
tougher U.N. sanctions last month and the annual joint military exercises in
South Korea by U.S. and South Korean forces, drills that have aggravated
Pyongyang in previous years.
The United States initially responded to the North's invective by
publicly drawing to its shows of military force in the training exercises,
including the flight of nuclear-capable B-2 stealth bombers over South Korea.
But when those moves appeared to further infuriate rather than
intimidate Pyongyang, raising worries that they increased the risk of a
miscalculation in the crisis, Washington dialed back the displays of strength.
On Saturday, a senior U.S. Department of Defense official said a
long-planned missile test in California, scheduled for Tuesday, was being
delayed to avoid any misperceptions by North Korea.
And in a sign of the delicate situation in the region, Gen. James
Thurman, the top U.S. commander in South Korea, canceled a trip to Washington
this week "as a prudent measure," a U.S. military spokesman said
Sunday.
Thurman was due to testify before the Senate Armed Services
Committee and the House Armed Services Committee.
In Kaesong, the shared manufacturing zone on North Korea's side of
the militarily fortified border with the South, the ban on the entry of new
workers and trucks is putting a strain on personnel and supplies, prompting
more than 10 companies to cease production.
Possible explanations
Analysts have attempted to explain the North's unnerving behavior
by suggesting it may be an effort by Kim, who inherited power from his father
less than a year and a half ago, to shore up domestic support, particularly
with the military.
Another theory is that Pyongyang is trying to secure direct
negotiations with Washington, something the United States has long shunned in
favor of multilateral talks.
U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, who will visit Asia this week,
is expected to discuss potential diplomatic incentives for North Korea once it
stops its threatening rhetoric, senior administration officials told CNN on
condition of anonymity.
"Secretary Kerry agrees that we have to have a robust
deterrent because we really don't know what these guys will do," said one
senior official, who was not authorized to speak on the issue.
"But he also knows that the North Koreans need a diplomatic
off-ramp and that they have to be able to see it."
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